• This is the blog of Samuel Arbesman. I discuss here items of interest to me and, hopefully, to you as well. I recommend that you subscribe to the RSS feed as well as follow me at @arbesman on Twitter.

What Weather Predictions Actually Mean

The Wall Street Journal’s Numbers Guy answered a question of mine that some friends and I had always been unclear on: what exactly do weather predictions, especially chances of precipitation, mean?

Think it’s a no-brainer? Well, it turns out it’s pretty complicated and not even consistent between weather services.

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